Americans are scared. Regardless of what the polls suggest, they understand that our elections and democracy are under attack. And a power grab is still unfolding, marked by legal games, voter suppression, a crippled postal system and a politicized Supreme Court, which may decide a disputed election. Meanwhile, all electronic voting machines, whether directly connected to the internet or not, remain vulnerable to hacking and fraud.
Despite these serious challenges, there is a way to make America’s 2020 election results trustworthy. Our nation can have an evidence-based presidential election if voters and election officials act now.
Despite these serious challenges, there is a way to make America’s 2020 election results trustworthy.
In this op-ed, we discuss three simple but essential tools that will produce strong, verifiable evidence that the reported winner really won, despite any fraud or malfunction. This means generating a dependable record of votes on paper ballots, keeping that paper trail physically secure, and auditing the reported results against that paper.
Whenever possible, we recommend voting by hand on paper ballots. This first step prevents fraud at the front-end of the election process. Hand-marked paper cannot be hacked.
If you plan to vote in person, don’t assume your state provides hand-markable paper ballots. Check this easy-to-read map to make sure. If your state or jurisdiction does not provide paper ballots at polling places, you can instead request a provisional ballot (most states offer them) or request a vote-by-mail ballot.
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Voting on an absentee or vote-by-mail ballot is a good way to hand-mark a paper ballot. Request your ballot now. The vast majority of states provide no-excuse mail-in ballots or allow Covid-19 as a reason to request one. (Check your state’s excuse policy.)
Complete your ballot carefully. Every election, a small percentage of ballots aren’t counted because of avoidable voter errors. But even a few votes can change the outcome of a close race. Sign the envelope with your “official signature,” not your “grocery store signature.” If the ballot says to “fill in an oval,” then completely fill it in; do not use a check mark or X or circle a name. Use a pen with blue or black ink.
The best way to return your mail-in ballot is to drop it off at your local election official’s office, an official, monitored drop box, or a polling place. (Check if your state requires ballots to be returned by mail or to find the nearest drop box.)
If you must return your ballot by U.S. Postal Service, mail it right away, regardless of your state’s deadline for postmarks and receiving ballots. Put stamps on the envelope unless your state prepays the postage.
Vote early if you can. Many states allow early in-person voting at vote centers or county offices and some let you drop your mail-in ballot early at vote centers. Check your state’s policy.
Once the paper ballots are marked, however, they need to be secured from tampering. This step is a U.S. Election Assistance Commission’s “best practice” standard. Election officials in every state must commit to safeguarding paper ballots and other election materials from fraud and error.
The third and final step in evidence-based elections is to conduct risk-limiting audits. These audits, which require hand-marked paper ballots kept demonstrably secure, ensure that the reported winner really won, even if back-end systems that count paper ballot votes are hacked. (No other election auditing method can determine, with high confidence, that the official winner is the true winner!)
Risk-limiting audits are the gold standard in post-election audits and are endorsed by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. (Full disclosure, one of us created the audits, which are also a foundational part of Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden’s election security bill.) Election officials must commit to conducting risk-limiting audits, whether the reported election result is close or not.
Now is the time to pressure election officials to safeguard paper ballots verifiably and to conduct risk-limiting audits. Let’s demand compliance with evidence-based election standards in the seven swing states using paper ballots exclusively: Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Volunteering for the most effective get-out-the-vote activities can help to reduce the impact of election manipulation; the more eligible voters vote, the harder it is to conceal certain types of election fraud. It is possible to mobilize hundreds of thousands of additional eligible voters in swing states by employing simple, voter turnout strategies that utilize potent persuasion psychology research methods. (Studies show that when the possibility of being “benignly observed” exists, people tend to do good things for their communities. When these findings are applied to get-out-the-vote strategies, research shows that voter turnout exponentially increases, compared to standard voter turnout methods.) Working smarter in swing states will also help to convert a tight, likely-to-be contested race into a decisive victory. We cannot afford a repeat of 2016, when the election was decided by 80,000 votes and razor-thin margins in three states.
And in spite of perhaps unrealistic demands for an election winner to be declared on Nov. 3, voters must resist the psychological desire for closure on Election Day eve. Adjust your mindset now and normalize the fact that it could and likely should take weeks to count and properly audit the votes. The most important principle is that we are certain that the reported winner actually won.
Our democracy depends on evidence-based elections. And voting is America’s last stand.